Rosenfeller

0x4d1326...64a018

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.2%

Total P&L

+$22.3K

Trade Count

976

Sharpe Ratio

0.16

Sortino Ratio

0.95

Max Drawdown

394.8%

ROI

7.4%

Profit Factor

3.08

Kelly Fraction

0.447

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	160.14	Dec 13
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	299	Dec 13
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	3.54	Dec 13
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	5	Dec 13
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	10.526	Dec 13
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	10	Dec 13
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	52.632	Dec 13
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	18.75	Dec 13
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	35.86	Dec 12
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	50	Dec 12
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	SELL	38.0¢	19.54	Dec 12
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	SELL	96.0¢	3,108.99	Dec 10
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?	SELL	87.0¢	332	Dec 10
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?	BUY	28.9¢	92.13	Dec 10
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?	BUY	28.9¢	129.87	Dec 10
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	BUY	95.3¢	973.24	Dec 10
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?	BUY	15.8¢	26.128	Dec 10
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?	BUY	15.8¢	264.88	Dec 10
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	BUY	95.3¢	137.76	Dec 10
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?	BUY	68.6¢	497.07	Dec 10

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%

Win Consistency66.0%

Profit Factor0.97

Drawdown Resilience0.78

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity611 trades · 128 active days

P&L Calendar

$104,85726d profit102d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue