royceai1989

0x8e6bd1...9d2ffc

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.6%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

174

Sharpe Ratio

1.57

Sortino Ratio

9.02

Max Drawdown

4028.0%

ROI

-1.1%

Profit Factor

0.75

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	7.1¢	36	Mar 5
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	5.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	SELL	15.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	SELL	12.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	SELL	24.0¢	13	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	BUY	24.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	BUY	12.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY	36.0¢	13	Mar 4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	8.0¢	35	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	44.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	34.4¢	8	Mar 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	SELL	8.0¢	4.5	Mar 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	SELL	8.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	15.8¢	19	Mar 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	17	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	21.0¢	14	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	SELL	2.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	7.5¢	20	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	11.0¢	35	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity174 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$553d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue