salmonhandcrafted

0x7b6490...73bfdd

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.2%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.01

Sortino Ratio

-0.62

Max Drawdown

1586.0%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

164.93

Kelly Fraction

0.976

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 6?	BUY	99.4¢	1.23	Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.66	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.94	Mar 3
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	2,903.89	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	1.36	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.55	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.44	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.26	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.17	Mar 3
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	2,903.89	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.97	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.66	Mar 3
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?	BUY	99.6¢	1.3	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	1.44	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	1.2	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.29	Feb 27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1.3	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.35	Feb 27
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 27?	BUY	99.8¢	1.25	Feb 27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.28	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.5%

Win Consistency58.9%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity61 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$910d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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