SantiagoBrazuca

0xd2c8bb...b64675

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.2%

Total P&L

+$67

Trade Count

207

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

16.45

Max Drawdown

83.8%

ROI

3.4%

Profit Factor

1.74

Kelly Fraction

0.248

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	83.0¢	3.614	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	98.8¢	3.48	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	SELL	59.0¢	3.22	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	76.0¢	3.947	Mar 1
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	BUY	93.0¢	3.226	Mar 1
Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	76.0¢	3.947	Mar 1
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	85.0¢	3.529	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	86.0¢	3.488	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.1¢	208.33	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	2.4¢	208.333	Feb 28
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?	SELL	92.7¢	21.52	Feb 28
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?	BUY	97.8¢	12.219	Feb 28
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	SELL	24.0¢	49.79	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	48.0¢	28.75	Feb 28
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?	BUY	86.0¢	9.302	Feb 26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	11.111	Feb 26
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?	BUY	91.0¢	8.791	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	11.905	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	10	Feb 26
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	9	Feb 26

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.98

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.8%

Win Consistency48.3%

Profit Factor0.94

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity207 trades · 58 active days

P&L Calendar

$35522d profit36d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue