sapscooper

0xcbc935...ee7c87

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.8%

Total P&L

+$59

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.49

Max Drawdown

3737.9%

ROI

6.4%

Profit Factor

1.67

Kelly Fraction

0.211

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	11.0¢	27.273	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	13.462	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	21.0¢	13.63	Mar 3
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BUY	61.0¢	4.918	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	46.0¢	6.522	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	22.0¢	13.636	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	3.614	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	3.529	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	6	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	3.614	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	66.0¢	4.545	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	4.286	Feb 28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	68.0¢	4.412	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	BUY	69.0¢	4.348	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	60.0¢	5	Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	6.383	Feb 28
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?	SELL	41.0¢	6.44	Feb 18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?	SELL	51.0¢	4.73	Feb 18
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?	SELL	4.0¢	10.82	Feb 18
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?	SELL	0.9¢	30.3	Feb 18

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.2%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.41

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity46 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$3971d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue