Scottv5
0x8d3410...3246db
Smart Score
59
Win Rate
92.9%
Total P&L
+$335
Trade Count
14
Sharpe Ratio
0.65
Sortino Ratio
2.15
Max Drawdown
58.2%
ROI
3.6%
Profit Factor
157.86
Kelly Fraction
0.923
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
059.3/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $130? | BUY | 99.9¢ | 1,423.223 | Mar 5 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $30? | BUY | 99.9¢ | 1,421.801 | Feb 25 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $460? | BUY | 99.9¢ | 565.275 | Feb 19 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $340? | BUY | 99.9¢ | 855.11 | Feb 19 |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | BUY | 98.0¢ | 1,618.959 | Feb 7 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $220 end of January? | BUY | 99.9¢ | 1,195.785 | Jan 29 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 24.0¢ | 390.8 | Jan 16 |
| Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in December? | BUY | 99.9¢ | 1,288.378 | Jan 6 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 99.9¢ | 275.205 | Dec 26 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 99.8¢ | 24.048 | Dec 23 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 99.8¢ | 108.216 | Dec 18 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 99.4¢ | 54.326 | Dec 14 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 99.8¢ | 474.95 | Dec 14 |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | BUY | 99.0¢ | 48.485 | Dec 14 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active59.3
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.26
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.0%
Win Consistency64.3%
Profit Factor1.54
Drawdown Resilience1.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.95
Trading Activity14 trades · 11 active days
P&L Calendar
$9,4060d profit11d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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