SDFG-

0x8402ea...22bfa4

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.9%

Total P&L

-$83

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-8.06

Sortino Ratio

-9.92

Max Drawdown

831.9%

ROI

-12.7%

Profit Factor

0.56

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	59.3¢	32.25	Mar 5
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	6.8¢	292.509	Mar 4
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	856.458	Mar 4
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	1.6¢	1,275.726	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	1.5¢	1,328.878	Mar 4
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	4.1¢	244.888	Mar 4
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	869.103	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	1,111.111	Mar 4
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	BUY	8.8¢	79.676	Mar 4
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	BUY	9.9¢	101.01	Mar 4
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	BUY	22.0¢	227.273	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	55.1¢	90.705	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?	BUY	62.0¢	40.323	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?	BUY	44.0¢	113.636	Mar 3
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?	BUY	78.3¢	12.768	Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	88.0¢	56.818	Mar 3
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	82.0¢	30.488	Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	12.1¢	412.964	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	19.7¢	507.574	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency27.8%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity19 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$6181d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue