Seeds2

0xa8e2b2...b1e208@Jsnkadi

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.5%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.16

Sortino Ratio

1.32

Max Drawdown

33.8%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.10

Kelly Fraction

0.080

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	95.095	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	95.19	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	95.095	Feb 25
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	95.095	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 22?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 18?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 11?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 6?	BUY	0.3¢	1,050	Jan 6
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 3?	BUY	99.9¢	97.097	Jan 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 29?	BUY	99.9¢	97.097	Dec 29
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 23?	BUY	99.9¢	97.097	Dec 23
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	97.317	Dec 15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	97.214	Dec 8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 1?	BUY	99.9¢	97.027	Dec 1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 26?	BUY	99.9¢	96.927	Nov 26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	96.826	Nov 18
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 12?	BUY	99.9¢	96.736	Nov 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.9%

Win Consistency50.7%

Profit Factor1.17

Drawdown Resilience0.94

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.94

Weekly Sharpe est.0.72

Trading Activity56 trades · 40 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,7550d profit40d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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