shkdee89

0x2c7a88...ae68e0

Smart Score

Win Rate

32.3%

Total P&L

+$107

Trade Count

148

Sharpe Ratio

0.77

Sortino Ratio

21.20

Max Drawdown

1356.8%

ROI

5.2%

Profit Factor

1.23

Kelly Fraction

0.060

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	BUY	78.9¢	6.122	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	BUY	55.0¢	1.818	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	14.6¢	602.74	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	14.7¢	612.109	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	19.1¢	982.461	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	24.7¢	236.437	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	31.1¢	264.277	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	30.5¢	327.869	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	97.0¢	347.75	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	32.9¢	347.751	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	66.0¢	302.32	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	21.1	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	SELL	87.9¢	12.03	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	BUY	55.2¢	12.221	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	100	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	8.84	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	BUY	53.0¢	8.981	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	BUY	49.0¢	2.041	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	BUY	47.0¢	2.128	Feb 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.6%

Win Consistency44.9%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity148 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$5096d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue