shogunx

0x7f26ab...43f1cb

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.5%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.41

Sortino Ratio

9.30

Max Drawdown

2.0%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

2192.63

Kelly Fraction

0.954

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

077.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	5.151	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	5.145	Feb 8
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	BUY	99.6¢	5.151	Jan 8
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5.145	Dec 5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?	BUY	99.9¢	5.135	Nov 26
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?	BUY	98.4¢	5.213	Oct 16
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?	BUY	99.5¢	5.156	Sep 25
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?	BUY	98.8¢	91.63	Jul 9
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?	BUY	98.9¢	54.479	Jun 13
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?	BUY	99.9¢	48.809	May 28
Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?	BUY	99.8¢	48.036	Apr 20
Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	5.351	Mar 26
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	26.366	Mar 15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?	BUY	98.7¢	24.468	Mar 11
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	48.397	Feb 18
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	41.754	Feb 13
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	5.995	Jan 25
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?	BUY	98.9¢	7.068	Jan 18
US inauguration on January 20?	BUY	98.9¢	5.106	Jan 18
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?	BUY	99.7¢	6.549	Dec 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro77.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)70.6%

Win Consistency81.8%

Profit Factor2.02

Drawdown Resilience1.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.63

Weekly Sharpe est.1.24

Trading Activity11 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$2770d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue