simon-yi

0x644b6c...14a40d

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.1%

Total P&L

-$38

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.64

Sortino Ratio

-0.53

Max Drawdown

482.1%

ROI

-1.6%

Profit Factor

0.71

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?	BUY	98.4¢	48	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	97.9¢	44	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BUY	96.3¢	41	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	99.6¢	33	Feb 20
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	99.4¢	31	Feb 18
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	99.5¢	44	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	50	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	41	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	40	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	99.4¢	36	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	99.3¢	19	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?	BUY	99.0¢	19	Feb 15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	43	Feb 15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	45	Feb 15
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	99.4¢	19	Feb 14
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	BUY	98.4¢	40	Feb 14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 2?	BUY	99.9¢	23	Feb 1
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	31	Jan 28
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	48	Jan 13
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	10	Jan 12

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.0%

Win Consistency61.5%

Profit Factor0.20

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity77 trades · 40 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,3727d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue