Simpleasthat

0x91552c...d0de7c

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.7%

Total P&L

+$4.1K

Trade Count

1,644

Sharpe Ratio

0.79

Sortino Ratio

2.51

Max Drawdown

71.4%

ROI

3.1%

Profit Factor

1.36

Kelly Fraction

0.102

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	BUY	29.0¢	103.528	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	38.0¢	306.86	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	38.4¢	306.865	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	28.4¢	351.695	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	27.6¢	362.143	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	58.0¢	548.11	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	21.0¢	386.006	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	76.0¢	106.66	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	279.402	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	61.0¢	132.81	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	61.0¢	132.82	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	65.9¢	122.93	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	81.5¢	60.154	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	60	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	136.25	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	78.8¢	122.931	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	28.7¢	338.02	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	136.254	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	18.0¢	166.667	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	9.2¢	1,202.79	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.8%

Win Consistency51.5%

Profit Factor1.05

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Trading Activity1,644 trades · 45 active days

P&L Calendar

$16,45811d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue