Sinclair0naik

0xbd8aa0...7b0964

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.5%

Total P&L

+$13

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.51

Sortino Ratio

-0.20

Max Drawdown

22.2%

ROI

9.7%

Profit Factor

1.43

Kelly Fraction

0.165

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	2.01	Mar 5
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	2.018	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	5	Jan 26
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Jan 26
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.5¢	2,743	Jan 17
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.6¢	2,743	Jan 15
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	1	Nov 27
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	1	Nov 27
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6	Nov 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	8	Nov 27
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9	Nov 27
Solana Up or Down - November 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	10	Nov 24
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	8	Nov 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9	Nov 24
Solana Up or Down - November 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6	Nov 18
Solana Up or Down - November 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	3	Nov 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9	Nov 18
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9	Nov 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9	Nov 11
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9	Nov 11

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.9%

Win Consistency0.0%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity34 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$901d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue