sofia16

0x510455...8a562d
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
90.5%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
23
Sharpe Ratio
-2.72
Sortino Ratio
-2.42
Max Drawdown
295.2%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
35.43
Kelly Fraction
0.879
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
027.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?BUY99.5¢1.27Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?BUY99.7¢1.25Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?BUY99.8¢1.3Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 5?BUY99.5¢1.2Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?BUY99.4¢1.1Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2?BUY99.7¢1.32Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.1¢1.44Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?BUY99.9¢1.24Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?BUY99.8¢1.14Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY99.6¢1.37Mar 2
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?BUY99.9¢1.47Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?BUY99.4¢1.33Feb 27
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?BUY99.9¢1.49Feb 27
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.9¢1.34Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?BUY99.3¢1.24Feb 27
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.4Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 28?BUY99.9¢1.16Feb 27
Will XRP reach $3.20 in February?BUY99.9¢1.3Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 28?BUY99.9¢1.1Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 24?BUY99.1¢1.81Feb 24
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.4%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity23 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$310d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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