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SonOnTheRun

SonOnTheRun

0xb51566...91b86d
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
54.5%
Total P&L
+$44.0K
Trade Count
207
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Sortino Ratio
-0.03
Max Drawdown
744.9%
ROI
6.9%
Profit Factor
2.99
Kelly Fraction
0.363
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?BUY62.6¢8,601.772Sep 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?SELL48.9¢10,123.74Sep 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?SELL47.0¢500Sep 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?SELL47.0¢417.83Sep 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?BUY59.0¢11,041.576Sep 18
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.2¢39,582.43Sep 17
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.5¢38,772.5Sep 17
Will Donald Trump say "Secret Service" during his Michigan town hall?SELL99.0¢304.42Sep 17
Will Donald Trump say "Secret Service" during his Michigan town hall?SELL99.0¢6,000Sep 17
Will Donald Trump say "Secret Service" during his Michigan town hall?BUY85.0¢6,304.424Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?SELL91.5¢5,858.41Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?BUY94.0¢5,645.717Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?SELL75.0¢875Sep 16
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?BUY75.0¢1,087.7Sep 16
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?SELL22.3¢24,299.56Sep 16
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY70.0¢22,681.66Sep 14
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY70.0¢52Sep 14
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY70.0¢67Sep 14
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY70.0¢48.333Sep 14
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY70.0¢1Sep 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%12%< 10%13%10–20%8%20–30%23%30–50%10%50–70%21%70–80%6%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%
Win Consistency45.8%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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