SpicyBrwny

0x88aa56...c6ea6f@tonalou_

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.7%

Total P&L

+$4.9K

Trade Count

566

Sharpe Ratio

0.33

Sortino Ratio

1.08

Max Drawdown

212863.6%

ROI

3.8%

Profit Factor

6.30

Kelly Fraction

0.670

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	91.0¢	315.64	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.2¢	2,000	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	SELL	97.7¢	300	Mar 4
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	97.7¢	300	Mar 4
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	94.0¢	100	Mar 4
Over $800K committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	99.9¢	2,000	Mar 4
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	11.0¢	100	Mar 4
Over $2M committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	90.0¢	75.67	Mar 4
Over $2M committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	90.0¢	24.33	Mar 4
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	37.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	12.0¢	237.19	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	14.0¢	21.429	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	14.0¢	83.46	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	14.0¢	101.436	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	11.0¢	112.36	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	11.0¢	5.618	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	11.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	11.0¢	337.079	Mar 4
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	87.7¢	15.41	Mar 4
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	88.5¢	51.54	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.6%

Win Consistency66.9%

Profit Factor1.05

Drawdown Resilience0.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity566 trades · 82 active days

P&L Calendar

$63,43318d profit64d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue