Spiritprop

0xa17bc6...ab82b5

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.4%

Total P&L

+$51

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.50

Sortino Ratio

-0.36

Max Drawdown

8370.7%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

90.47

Kelly Fraction

0.973

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	99.1¢	50.454	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	88.0¢	113.636	Mar 4
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	96.6¢	122	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	99.3¢	10.07	Mar 2
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	10.04	Feb 27
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	92.0¢	122	Feb 27
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	95.1¢	1.052	Feb 24
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 24?	BUY	99.8¢	110.22	Feb 24
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?	BUY	99.0¢	1.01	Feb 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	144.144	Feb 20
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Feb 15
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	98.2¢	1.018	Feb 15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	150.15	Feb 15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.1¢	1.009	Feb 10
Will The Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	99.7¢	150.451	Feb 10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 5?	BUY	99.7¢	140	Feb 5
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.0¢	135	Feb 5
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	99.6¢	1.004	Feb 2
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	99.8¢	2.004	Feb 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.81

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.9%

Win Consistency50.8%

Profit Factor0.86

Drawdown Resilience0.69

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity70 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,1633d profit39d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue