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Stevenan0122

0x3fd20b...7f7a8c
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
59.6%
Total P&L
-$12
Trade Count
65
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
1.83
Max Drawdown
213.0%
ROI
-0.4%
Profit Factor
0.90
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY62.0¢100Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY61.0¢20Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY61.0¢11Mar 5
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?BUY81.0¢6.21Mar 5
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?BUY59.4¢336.815Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢1,921.93Jan 26
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢1,921.923Jan 22
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?BUY82.0¢6.098Jan 8
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY69.0¢4.348Jan 8
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY59.1¢25.394Jan 8
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY42.0¢4.762Jan 8
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?BUY1.9¢53.684Jan 8
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?BUY28.0¢7.143Jan 8
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY32.5¢61.455Jan 8
TikTok sale announced by October 31?BUY29.0¢17.241Sep 25
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY87.9¢5.688Sep 25
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY47.0¢10.638Sep 25
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?BUY74.0¢13.514Sep 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 3?BUY68.0¢2.941Sep 2
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?SELL99.8¢1.53Sep 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%4%10–20%8%20–30%13%30–50%40%50–70%8%70–80%11%80–90%11%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.6%
Win Consistency39.6%
Profit Factor0.44
Drawdown Resilience0.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity65 trades · 17 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5203d profit14d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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