Str3sU

0xd71a00...bd78c9

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.1%

Total P&L

-$7.8K

Trade Count

988

Sharpe Ratio

0.07

Sortino Ratio

0.39

Max Drawdown

180.0%

ROI

-1.6%

Profit Factor

0.62

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	BUY	95.9¢	104.262	Mar 5
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	BUY	97.0¢	515.317	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	1,778.44	Mar 5
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	31.6¢	401.399	Mar 5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	129.43	Mar 5
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	92.4¢	437.625	Mar 3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.2¢	516.9	Mar 3
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	641.8	Mar 3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.2¢	496.62	Feb 28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	85.0¢	588.235	Feb 26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	27.5¢	1,210.108	Feb 21
EU dissolves before 2027?	SELL	95.2¢	530.44	Feb 19
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	BUY	63.3¢	790.075	Feb 18
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	303.62	Feb 18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	75.7¢	1,013.51	Feb 18
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	221.128	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	93.0¢	219.78	Feb 16
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	1,900.202	Feb 11
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.0¢	617.45	Feb 11
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	SELL	92.0¢	1,350.33	Feb 11

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.80

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.2%

Win Consistency60.5%

Profit Factor0.38

Drawdown Resilience0.30

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30

Weekly Sharpe est.0.23

Trading Activity988 trades · 141 active days

P&L Calendar

$34,29059d profit73d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue