suraxy

0xa9aca7...26c5d1@SuraxyPM

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.4%

Total P&L

+$51.5K

Trade Count

3,937

Sharpe Ratio

0.55

Sortino Ratio

81.45

Max Drawdown

10143.3%

ROI

18.7%

Profit Factor

2.41

Kelly Fraction

0.213

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	61.0¢	492.13	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	6.0¢	476.58	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	6.0¢	19.2	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	6.0¢	364.404	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	6.0¢	139.81	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	12.0¢	500	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	15.0¢	1,765.61	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	22.6¢	3.31	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	22.6¢	54.72	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	22.6¢	182.434	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	13.0¢	400	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	1.38	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	84.126	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	41.296	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	73.19	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	227.273	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	68.2¢	293.327	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	5.4¢	600	Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	3.3¢	2,385.03	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	37.2¢	100	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.79

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.7%

Win Consistency48.7%

Profit Factor0.85

Drawdown Resilience0.68

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68

Weekly Sharpe est.0.52

Trading Activity3,937 trades · 47 active days

P&L Calendar

$35,27113d profit34d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue