Tarcia
0x09b890...bf8860
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
14.3%
Total P&L
+$7.1K
Trade Count
12
Sharpe Ratio
-1.79
Sortino Ratio
-1.79
Max Drawdown
1958.0%
ROI
243.1%
Profit Factor
6.20
Kelly Fraction
0.120
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
04/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | SELL | 13.8¢ | 384.26 | Nov 20 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6¢ | 38.333 | Nov 9 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64 | BUY | 1.1¢ | 27,274.8 | Nov 6 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64 | BUY | 6.5¢ | 7,726 | Nov 6 |
| Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | BUY | 13.0¢ | 384.262 | Oct 30 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64 | BUY | 14.0¢ | 1,296.929 | Oct 30 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 11.8¢ | 1,261.578 | Jul 21 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 3.1¢ | 4,806.452 | Jul 21 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 3.1¢ | 806.452 | Jul 21 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 11.8¢ | 211.864 | Jul 21 |
| Will Biden drop out on July 21? | BUY | 14.6¢ | 9,848.027 | Jul 20 |
| Mexican Presidential Election: Will Xóchitl Gálvez win? | BUY | 10.2¢ | 278.514 | May 31 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
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Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing4
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.22
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.6%
Win Consistency0.0%
Profit Factor0.10
Drawdown Resilience0.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.06
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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