Timot3hy

0xfaf25a...d0f13e

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.8%

Total P&L

-$36

Trade Count

164

Sharpe Ratio

0.03

Sortino Ratio

0.02

Max Drawdown

621.8%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

-0.01

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	39.689	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	39.6	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	39.609	Mar 4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.9¢	39.61	Mar 4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	39.619	Feb 28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.9¢	39.62	Feb 28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	39.629	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.7¢	39.71	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	39.719	Feb 26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	39.72	Feb 26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	39.729	Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	99.9¢	39.73	Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	98.4¢	39.736	Feb 24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	39.18	Feb 24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	39.189	Feb 22
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	39.23	Feb 22
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	39.239	Feb 21
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	39.27	Feb 21
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	39.279	Feb 20
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?	SELL	96.8¢	40.53	Feb 20

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.1%

Win Consistency76.6%

Profit Factor0.15

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity164 trades · 86 active days

P&L Calendar

$7612d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue