tinybits

0x610cc9...79998f
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
82.5%
Total P&L
+$230
Trade Count
987
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Sortino Ratio
1.40
Max Drawdown
34669.4%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
1.03
Kelly Fraction
0.025
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
020.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 21?BUY1.0¢182Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 20?BUY4.8¢14.6Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 20?BUY3.9¢12.5Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?BUY0.9¢342.828Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?BUY0.8¢378.889Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?BUY0.8¢356.667Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?BUY0.6¢538.418Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?BUY0.6¢528.015Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?BUY0.9¢334.444Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on February 20?BUY13.0¢1.02Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on February 20?BUY13.0¢5.557Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on February 20?BUY13.0¢6.897Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on February 20?BUY13.0¢69Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on February 20?BUY13.0¢69Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on February 20?BUY13.0¢1.73Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 20?BUY80.0¢50Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on February 19?BUY5.0¢126.5Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on February 19?BUY5.0¢20Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on February 19?BUY5.0¢6Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 19?BUY50.0¢3Feb 19
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%3%10–20%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%61%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.11
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.3%
Win Consistency60.9%
Profit Factor0.52
Drawdown Resilience0.42
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity987 trades · 19 active days
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P&L Calendar
$40,5000d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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