tir1234

0xa3e961...7b1279@Legi7635

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.2%

Total P&L

+$128.6K

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

-0.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.01

Max Drawdown

143.9%

ROI

11.0%

Profit Factor

235.27

Kelly Fraction

0.918

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	SELL	85.0¢	37.05	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	31,583.39	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	5.07	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	200	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	6	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	555	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	123.053	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	131.579	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	9,868	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	40	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	40	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	80	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	70	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	70	Mar 3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	SELL	85.0¢	4.047	Mar 3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	SELL	85.0¢	5.882	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	89.4	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	1.02	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	1.02	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	1.02	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.2%

Win Consistency93.3%

Profit Factor1.01

Drawdown Resilience0.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity998 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$212,09213d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue