tolledo

0x1e66ab...9441e7

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.3%

Total P&L

+$1.8K

Trade Count

3,666

Sharpe Ratio

0.63

Sortino Ratio

29.91

Max Drawdown

146.3%

ROI

31.8%

Profit Factor

6.31

Kelly Fraction

0.373

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?	SELL	0.4¢	84.52	Mar 5
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?	BUY	1.0¢	278.9	Mar 5
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?	BUY	2.5¢	158.8	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?	BUY	2.3¢	46.21	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	70.15	Mar 5
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	2.2¢	6.53	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	BUY	1.8¢	210.55	Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?	BUY	1.1¢	100.79	Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?	BUY	1.1¢	243.749	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?	BUY	2.3¢	45	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?	BUY	2.3¢	45	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	2.9¢	40.04	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	2.9¢	4.552	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	2.9¢	72.34	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?	BUY	2.3¢	17.76	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?	BUY	2.3¢	17.76	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?	SELL	0.7¢	196	Mar 5
Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	0.5¢	357.4	Mar 5
Will Solana reach $160 in March?	SELL	0.8¢	102.11	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.4¢	13.63	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.0%

Win Consistency36.8%

Profit Factor1.14

Drawdown Resilience0.92

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92

Weekly Sharpe est.0.70

Trading Activity3,666 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$3175d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue