Tony889

0xffc9c9...6acfac
Smart Score
59
Win Rate
77.8%
Total P&L
+$11
Trade Count
65
Sharpe Ratio
0.88
Sortino Ratio
1.13
Max Drawdown
60.3%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
54.65
Kelly Fraction
0.763
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
059/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY5.2¢3,834Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.1¢4,387Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.1¢1,547Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.1¢53Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.1¢795Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.1¢1,992Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.1¢39Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.1¢3,792Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.1¢3,831Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.2¢669Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.2¢669Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL96.9¢2,407Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY97.0¢2,407Mar 4
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.9¢86.28Mar 3
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.9¢2,274.72Mar 3
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY98.9¢2,361Mar 3
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.9¢729Mar 2
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢466Mar 2
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢263Mar 2
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.2¢2,331.55Mar 2
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%53%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%41%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active59

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.24
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.7%
Win Consistency52.2%
Profit Factor1.53
Drawdown Resilience1.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.94
Trading Activity65 trades · 13 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1915d profit6d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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