trewr2

0xe5f7e1...e4db7b

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.9%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.13

Sortino Ratio

78.67

Max Drawdown

100.0%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

7.73

Kelly Fraction

0.373

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	36	Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	98.9¢	28	Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	28	Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	89	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	42	Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	98.9¢	52	Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.8¢	89	Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	52	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.1¢	53	Mar 4
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	113	Mar 4
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	113	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	96.1¢	81	Feb 26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	5	Feb 26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	5	Feb 26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	53	Feb 25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.2¢	42	Feb 24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	95.8¢	40	Feb 24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.9¢	40	Feb 24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	61	Feb 24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	61	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.7%

Win Consistency25.0%

Profit Factor1.08

Drawdown Resilience0.87

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.87

Weekly Sharpe est.0.66

Trading Activity26 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$1132d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue