trfcxsdw

0x543839...ff234b

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.1%

Total P&L

+$1.4K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.32

Sortino Ratio

0.59

Max Drawdown

542.0%

ROI

2.0%

Profit Factor

10.66

Kelly Fraction

0.436

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,794.46	Mar 5
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.7¢	1,461.54	Mar 4
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.8¢	1,461.54	Mar 4
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,683.65	Mar 4
Will SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?	BUY	31.0¢	364.56	Mar 4
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,683.65	Mar 4
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	1,637.62	Mar 3
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	1,637.62	Mar 3
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	1,358.46	Mar 2
Hurricanes vs. Kraken	BUY	38.0¢	244.63	Mar 2
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,358.46	Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	129.347	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	1,491.58	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.6¢	1,491.58	Mar 1
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,099.5	Feb 28
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,099.5	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	59.8¢	36.88	Feb 28
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.1¢	1,334.19	Feb 28
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?	BUY	54.0¢	213.02	Feb 28
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.2¢	1,334.19	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.4%

Win Consistency37.7%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity88 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,0941d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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