trojas

0x55904e...3dc2bc

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.8%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

126

Sharpe Ratio

0.49

Sortino Ratio

15.23

Max Drawdown

185.9%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.25

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.9¢	161	Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.8¢	64	Mar 5
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	87	Mar 5
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	87	Mar 1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.9¢	83	Mar 1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.0¢	417	Feb 27
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	92	Feb 27
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	92	Feb 17
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	87	Feb 13
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	87	Feb 9
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	1.0¢	307	Feb 9
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	87	Feb 7
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	SELL	0.8¢	84	Feb 7
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	85	Feb 6
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	85	Feb 5
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	1.1¢	307	Feb 1
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	0.1¢	78	Feb 1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.3¢	89	Feb 1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.5¢	89	Jan 31
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	0.1¢	351	Jan 30

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.3%

Win Consistency13.1%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity126 trades · 87 active days

P&L Calendar

$87537d profit50d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue