uwlrbtc8

0x4dc9e8...d35211

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.2%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

477

Sharpe Ratio

-1.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.84

Max Drawdown

7715.8%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

2.83

Kelly Fraction

0.564

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	38.54	Mar 5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	SELL	96.6¢	48.27	Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY	96.9¢	3.27	Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY	96.9¢	39.79	Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY	96.9¢	5.21	Mar 3
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	97.7¢	47.56	Mar 1
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	97.8¢	47.56	Mar 1
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?	SELL	97.7¢	42.07	Mar 1
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?	BUY	97.9¢	42.07	Mar 1
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	97.5¢	42.81	Mar 1
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	97.6¢	42.81	Mar 1
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	97.7¢	42.3	Mar 1
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	97.8¢	42.3	Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.5¢	42.8	Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.7¢	42.8	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	39.1	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	97.2¢	39.1	Feb 28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	94.6¢	42.81	Feb 28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	94.7¢	42.81	Feb 28
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	38.79	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.2%

Win Consistency31.0%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity477 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$8011d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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