v1lost

0x48f979...08e61d

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.5%

Total P&L

+$1.8K

Trade Count

986

Sharpe Ratio

0.72

Sortino Ratio

140.73

Max Drawdown

67749.3%

ROI

7.6%

Profit Factor

1.74

Kelly Fraction

0.194

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	55	Mar 4
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?	SELL	2.1¢	50.66	Mar 4
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?	SELL	2.1¢	282.37	Mar 4
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BUY	15.7¢	84	Mar 4
X banned in U.K. by March 31?	BUY	1.3¢	1,063.56	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	206.38	Mar 4
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	48	Mar 4
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	63.12	Mar 4
Iran Nuke before 2027?	BUY	12.0¢	509	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	48.0¢	30	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	3.8¢	1,023.19	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	0.1¢	1,001	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	0.6¢	198.1	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	0.6¢	101.897	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	0.2¢	7.405	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	0.2¢	46.453	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	0.2¢	9.85	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	0.3¢	351.06	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.70

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.1%

Win Consistency35.3%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity986 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,81214d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue