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vakulchik

0x741d9a...22e35c
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
50.9%
Total P&L
+$614
Trade Count
181
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Sortino Ratio
1.51
Max Drawdown
128.4%
ROI
1.8%
Profit Factor
1.22
Kelly Fraction
0.091
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?BUY49.6¢302.602Mar 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?SELL78.0¢203.77Mar 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?SELL78.0¢600Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?BUY86.0¢290.698Mar 5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY9.1¢549.451Feb 28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?SELL49.0¢400Feb 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY41.0¢243.902Jan 10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?SELL53.1¢370.24Jan 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?SELL54.2¢370.23Jan 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?SELL12.2¢1,203.77Jan 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?SELL13.0¢370.23Jan 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?BUY67.5¢740.479Dec 31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?SELL99.6¢795.2Dec 31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY18.0¢1,111.111Dec 26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL97.8¢1,473.68Dec 26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY55.1¢544.482Dec 24
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?BUY16.0¢312.5Dec 15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY95.0¢1,473.684Dec 8
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?SELL92.9¢1,344.75Dec 8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY18.0¢1,666.667Dec 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%11%10–20%7%20–30%9%30–50%17%50–70%13%70–80%28%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.1%
Win Consistency53.6%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity181 trades · 73 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,75924d profit48d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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