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vivianmaier

0x705dc9...53f7dc
Smart Score
58
Win Rate
49.7%
Total P&L
+$65
Trade Count
1,309
Sharpe Ratio
0.55
Sortino Ratio
26.04
Max Drawdown
23.2%
ROI
2.0%
Profit Factor
1.41
Kelly Fraction
0.143
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
058.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY56.0¢5Mar 5
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY33.0¢5Mar 5
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY33.0¢5Mar 5
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?SELL17.0¢20Mar 4
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?BUY61.0¢2Mar 4
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY15.0¢7Mar 4
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL51.0¢5Mar 4
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?SELL16.0¢7Mar 4
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY50.0¢5Mar 4
Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?BUY87.0¢5Mar 4
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?BUY55.0¢5Mar 4
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL27.0¢1Mar 4
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?SELL96.0¢5Mar 4
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?SELL78.0¢5Mar 4
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL27.0¢4Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL16.0¢10Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY17.0¢10Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY29.0¢10Mar 4
Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?SELL79.0¢5Mar 4
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?SELL76.4¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%11%10–20%17%20–30%25%30–50%24%50–70%8%70–80%10%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active58.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.9%
Win Consistency62.0%
Profit Factor1.51
Drawdown Resilience1.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.93
Trading Activity1,309 trades · 29 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9511d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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