Accrue
Log inGet Access

VNFDG34

0x48d174...3188af
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
63.8%
Total P&L
+$19
Trade Count
481
Sharpe Ratio
-2.04
Sortino Ratio
-1.85
Max Drawdown
3505.3%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
2.19
Kelly Fraction
0.347
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.5¢10.35Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢10.352Mar 5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.2¢14.113Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.6¢8.61Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢8.33Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢9.09Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢12.67Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢8.333Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢8.611Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY99.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢10.76Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢10.764Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢8.27Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢8.264Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY99.0¢5.051Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.6¢5.2Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢5.165Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢10.92Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%16%50–70%8%70–80%7%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.69
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.5%
Win Consistency43.1%
Profit Factor0.33
Drawdown Resilience0.26
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26
Weekly Sharpe est.0.20
Trading Activity481 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4449d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics