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0x857283...3c51f1
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
58.8%
Total P&L
-$6
Trade Count
209
Sharpe Ratio
-1.00
Sortino Ratio
-1.15
Max Drawdown
190424.9%
ROI
-2.8%
Profit Factor
-0.48
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL94.2¢1.05Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.4¢1.059Mar 5
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?SELL87.0¢1.12Mar 5
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY89.0¢1.124Mar 5
Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL8.0¢1.63Mar 5
Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL84.0¢1.08Mar 5
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY93.9¢1.065Feb 27
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL94.5¢1.05Feb 23
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL90.0¢1.09Feb 23
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY91.0¢1.099Feb 23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY94.7¢1.056Feb 23
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 28?SELL96.6¢1.01Feb 18
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 28?BUY98.6¢1.014Feb 18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL94.3¢2.11Feb 18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY94.5¢1.058Feb 18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY94.5¢1.058Feb 18
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL86.0¢1.13Feb 12
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL93.0¢1.07Feb 12
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY88.0¢1.136Feb 12
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%15%50–70%14%70–80%20%80–90%43%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency41.2%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity209 trades · 52 active days
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P&L Calendar
$129d profit43d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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