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waxinping042

0xa78e31...472b73
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
77.3%
Total P&L
+$82
Trade Count
69
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58
Sortino Ratio
-0.39
Max Drawdown
738.8%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
2836.00
Kelly Fraction
0.772
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢8.214Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.8¢8.454Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ETBUY99.8¢8.016Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.0¢6.19Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY96.8¢6.198Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢7.55Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.7¢7.551Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.8¢6.33Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.9¢6.337Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢8.17Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢8.172Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.6¢6.2Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.7¢6.205Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢11.765Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.5¢10.05Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ETSELL99.9¢10.1Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 3
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?BUY98.4¢1.422Jan 22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY98.5¢3.553Jan 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%92%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%
Win Consistency68.2%
Profit Factor0.81
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity69 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$313d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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