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whattthesigma

whattthesigma

0xcbcbe8...559497@sigmapengu
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
44.2%
Total P&L
-$8
Trade Count
64
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31
Sortino Ratio
-0.42
Max Drawdown
134.5%
ROI
-2.8%
Profit Factor
0.43
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY47.4¢2.11Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY55.0¢10.909Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY73.0¢1.37Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY65.0¢1.538Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY84.0¢1.19Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY89.0¢5.618Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY70.0¢7.143Mar 5
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?BUY38.0¢2.632Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢1.97Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL62.0¢1.78Feb 26
100kt meteor strike in 2026?BUY96.8¢5.165Feb 26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY18.0¢5.556Feb 20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY39.0¢2.564Feb 20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY94.4¢5.297Feb 20
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?SELL0.2¢4.08Feb 20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?SELL1.0¢56.66Feb 20
Will Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?BUY5.9¢16.949Feb 18
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢1.923Feb 18
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢188.67Feb 18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY1.8¢56.666Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%10–20%13%20–30%16%30–50%29%50–70%16%70–80%9%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency40.9%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity64 trades · 24 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$495d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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