WillowBettina

0x570364...1c0832

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.6%

Total P&L

+$24

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.54

Sortino Ratio

1.37

Max Drawdown

52.8%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

3.00

Kelly Fraction

0.211

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	341.24	Mar 5
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	341.241	Feb 9
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	338.85	Feb 8
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	338.858	Feb 7
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	341.55	Feb 5
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	341.554	Feb 4
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	341.52	Feb 4
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	341.522	Feb 3
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.9¢	342.53	Feb 3
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	342.535	Feb 3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 11PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	11.36	Feb 1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	334.77	Feb 1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	334.774	Jan 31
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	12.13	Jan 30
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	343.24	Jan 29
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	343.249	Jan 29
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.0¢	343.65	Jan 29
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.1¢	343.653	Jan 28
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	341.93	Jan 27
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	341.936	Jan 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.0%

Win Consistency36.8%

Profit Factor1.00

Drawdown Resilience0.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity37 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$466d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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