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Winner90

0xbb7ae6...06dfc1
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
13.3%
Total P&L
+$3.7K
Trade Count
945
Sharpe Ratio
0.41
Sortino Ratio
27.53
Max Drawdown
180.0%
ROI
71.2%
Profit Factor
1.99
Kelly Fraction
0.066
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?SELL99.4¢119.99Dec 7
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL0.5¢497.76Dec 7
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY0.9¢1,111.111Dec 7
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL87.2¢33.63Dec 7
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY10.4¢497.763Dec 7
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?SELL93.5¢55Dec 7
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?BUY5.8¢51.45Dec 7
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?BUY5.8¢15.04Dec 7
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?BUY5.8¢13.503Dec 7
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?BUY5.8¢18Dec 7
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?BUY5.8¢27Dec 7
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?BUY5.8¢50Dec 7
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL67.6¢15.2Dec 7
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY0.3¢346.667Dec 6
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?SELL1.7¢61.11Dec 6
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?BUY1.8¢61.111Dec 6
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?SELL1.1¢100Dec 6
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY45.4¢48.833Nov 8
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL0.3¢1,526.99Sep 20
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL0.3¢661.78Sep 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%95%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.8%
Win Consistency43.3%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity533 trades · 42 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$62418d profit23d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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