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XCGBER5Y

0x916773...a61020
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
66.4%
Total P&L
+$11
Trade Count
524
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Sortino Ratio
2.08
Max Drawdown
1300.0%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.71
Kelly Fraction
0.275
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.8¢9.662Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.5¢7.24Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ETBUY99.0¢17.172Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢7.246Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL90.7¢7.71Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY90.8¢7.709Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢7.317Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.2¢19.153Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢11.55Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢5.16Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢6.16Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.8¢8.27Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢8.256Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢10.52Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢0.224Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL81.0¢6.12Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢8.19Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.9¢6.129Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢8.172Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢8.5Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%6%70–80%11%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%
Win Consistency41.9%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity524 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$51010d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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