xIaoS

0xe4944e...b5b07a

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.7%

Total P&L

+$16

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.59

Max Drawdown

117.0%

ROI

17.4%

Profit Factor

1.64

Kelly Fraction

0.104

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	12.0¢	41.667	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	2.1¢	142.857	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	25.9¢	19.305	Mar 3
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Mar 1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	10.2¢	49.02	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	24.3¢	20.572	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	23.5¢	21.277	Mar 1
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	25	Mar 1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Jan 10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	16.0¢	31.25	Jan 9
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	19.0¢	26.316	Jan 9
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	76.923	Jan 8
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	BUY	30.0¢	16.667	Jan 8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?	BUY	62.0¢	8.065	Jan 8
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	15.0¢	33.333	Jan 7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	23.0¢	21.739	Jan 7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	33.0¢	30.303	Jan 7

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.4%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity17 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$940d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue