xsfas

0x6d6e1d...c06a39

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.4%

Total P&L

+$41

Trade Count

478

Sharpe Ratio

-2.44

Sortino Ratio

-2.40

Max Drawdown

25995.0%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

3.14

Kelly Fraction

0.459

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	18.182	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	7.06	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	7.07	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	74.6¢	10.67	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	15.39	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	9.27	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	8.21	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	7.071	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	9.091	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	6.122	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	15.385	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	67.0¢	7.46	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	8.172	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	6.061	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	73.0¢	10.95	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.1%

Win Consistency37.7%

Profit Factor0.46

Drawdown Resilience0.37

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity450 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$58710d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue