xw4f3

0xffdc43...9613bb

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

+$21

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

0.14

Max Drawdown

81.0%

ROI

31.1%

Profit Factor

9.89

Kelly Fraction

0.749

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Jazz vs. Wizards	BUY	46.0¢	2.913	Mar 5
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies	BUY	68.0¢	3.853	Mar 3
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	71.0¢	2.746	Mar 3
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	BUY	45.0¢	2.511	Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.1¢	29.65	Feb 18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.1¢	39.19	Feb 18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.1¢	46.9	Feb 18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.1¢	27.11	Feb 18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	2.1¢	142.857	Feb 18
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	BUY	77.0¢	5.195	Feb 12
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	7.527	Feb 12
Rockets vs. Pacers	BUY	68.0¢	7.353	Feb 2
US government shutdown Saturday?	BUY	34.0¢	6.765	Jan 29
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?	BUY	61.0¢	22.246	Jan 1
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	BUY	81.0¢	13.568	Dec 20
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	63.0¢	16.333	Nov 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.0%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor0.94

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity15 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$500d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue