yanglay

0x8a6b96...836e11

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$822

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.32

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

149.4%

ROI

1.2%

Profit Factor

1.53

Kelly Fraction

0.259

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	68.0¢	68.73	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	73.0¢	68.74	Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	SELL	31.0¢	161.84	Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	50.0¢	161.84	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	80.0¢	625	Mar 3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	13.0¢	38.462	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	SELL	99.9¢	586.51	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	90.0¢	586.512	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	1,923.626	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	90.7¢	441.014	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	2,036.66	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	SELL	97.4¢	2,044.98	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	BUY	97.8¢	2,044.99	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	2,024.29	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	2,024.291	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	2,030.457	Feb 22
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	2,028.62	Feb 22
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	2,028.628	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	2,053.388	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	2,041.39	Feb 19

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.6%

Win Consistency75.6%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity83 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$10,00213d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue