yawninglyNectarine

0x709a8e...569ec1

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.0%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.00

Sortino Ratio

-0.74

Max Drawdown

327.8%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

98.14

Kelly Fraction

0.940

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	1.47	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	1.34	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	1.44	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.27	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	1.39	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.26	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.49	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 3?	BUY	99.3¢	1.17	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	1.42	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.4	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	1.29	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	99.3¢	1.34	Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	BUY	99.9¢	1.48	Feb 27
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 23-March 1?	BUY	99.7¢	1.46	Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	BUY	99.9¢	1.2	Feb 27
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.1	Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1.28	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.98	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.9¢	1.98	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.37	Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.66

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.5%

Win Consistency55.0%

Profit Factor0.79

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity23 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$330d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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