yesonl

0x35bf35...1b97ba
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
41.4%
Total P&L
+$116
Trade Count
43
Sharpe Ratio
-0.72
Sortino Ratio
-2.07
Max Drawdown
181.1%
ROI
4.8%
Profit Factor
1.58
Kelly Fraction
0.151
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
012.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSELL99.1¢31.23Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY54.0¢55.574Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY63.2¢31.665Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSELL86.1¢78.25Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETBUY50.3¢79.498Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSELL99.1¢66.81Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY59.0¢67.81Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSELL99.1¢64.21Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY46.0¢65.217Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETSELL99.1¢33.43Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY58.9¢33.937Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - February 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETBUY43.0¢41.86Feb 1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY1.6¢125Feb 1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY1.2¢252.801Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY0.9¢222.222Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY0.7¢454.977Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY0.2¢1,000Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY0.2¢1,000Jan 29
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSELL99.9¢52.21Jan 29
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY74.0¢52.703Jan 29
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%10%10–20%3%20–30%7%30–50%28%50–70%7%70–80%7%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.0%
Win Consistency20.7%
Profit Factor0.31
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity43 trades · 6 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2322d profit4d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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