yharris

0x255575...5b3bd1

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.6%

Total P&L

-$239

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

1187.7%

ROI

-4.4%

Profit Factor

0.21

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	43.667	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	25.925	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	15.401	Feb 25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.0¢	17.626	Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	42.184	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	22.393	Feb 22
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	64.299	Feb 18
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	16.71	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	54.064	Feb 12
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	45.301	Jan 31
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.1¢	10.908	Jan 25
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	61.513	Jan 11
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	20.05	Dec 29
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	99.1¢	21.715	Dec 27
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	11.711	Dec 24
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	23.403	Dec 5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.2¢	71.09	Oct 28
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	BUY	95.9¢	22.857	Jul 26
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?	BUY	32.0¢	496.063	Jul 14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	BUY	78.5¢	184.671	Jun 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency67.2%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity60 trades · 54 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,30811d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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