yhsfxzn

0x8c1a71...588917
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
81.0%
Total P&L
+$349
Trade Count
23
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Sortino Ratio
0.89
Max Drawdown
55.6%
ROI
1.9%
Profit Factor
2.67
Kelly Fraction
0.506
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
055.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY96.7¢1,509.224Mar 5
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?BUY96.1¢1,459.42Feb 23
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY95.0¢1,402.495Feb 14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL94.1¢1,415.41Feb 13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY98.1¢1,415.41Feb 3
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?BUY1.6¢9,079.26Feb 3
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY95.4¢1,536.37Jan 14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?BUY1.4¢2,354.943Jan 7
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?BUY97.7¢1,401Jan 5
Maduro out in 2025?BUY95.6¢1,466.48Dec 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY93.0¢1,401.95Dec 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?BUY96.4¢1,303.817Nov 18
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?BUY96.2¢13.63Nov 11
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?SELL98.9¢13.26Nov 11
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?BUY95.0¢1,243.253Nov 8
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY93.3¢1,181.09Nov 1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBUY54.0¢48.593Oct 31
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?BUY98.4¢1,053.364Oct 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY98.5¢998.04Oct 27
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?BUY99.3¢23.85Oct 27
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%86%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.05
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.5%
Win Consistency76.2%
Profit Factor1.44
Drawdown Resilience1.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.89
Trading Activity23 trades · 17 active days
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P&L Calendar
$15,6341d profit15d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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