yym68686

0x80e04e...04be95

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.2%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.09

Sortino Ratio

-0.11

Max Drawdown

448.7%

ROI

2.5%

Profit Factor

1.14

Kelly Fraction

0.077

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	80.0¢	1.25	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	84.0¢	1.19	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	84.0¢	1.25	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	74.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	SELL	35.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	87.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	BUY	79.8¢	1.253	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 3?	BUY	84.0¢	1.25	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?	BUY	97.0¢	2	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 1?	BUY	95.0¢	3.568	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 1?	SELL	44.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 1?	BUY	66.4¢	5	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 1?	SELL	37.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 1?	BUY	45.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 1?	SELL	99.9¢	4.49	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 1?	BUY	89.0¢	4.494	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 28?	BUY	99.6¢	2.008	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 28?	BUY	89.0¢	2.247	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 27?	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.0%

Win Consistency68.5%

Profit Factor0.31

Drawdown Resilience0.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity83 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$830d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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