Zaunkoenig

0x9c6cec...5b00b9

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.4%

Total P&L

+$26.6K

Trade Count

556

Sharpe Ratio

0.36

Sortino Ratio

28.58

Max Drawdown

48.5%

ROI

11.9%

Profit Factor

4.84

Kelly Fraction

0.463

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

070.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.7¢	10,000	Mar 4
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?	BUY	7.9¢	1,000	Feb 20
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	21.0¢	91.8	Feb 11
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	21.0¢	43.823	Feb 11
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	21.0¢	146.07	Feb 11
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	21.0¢	14.28	Feb 11
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	21.0¢	136	Feb 11
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	21.0¢	68.02	Feb 11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	827.76	Jan 29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	2.222	Jan 29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	2.322	Jan 29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	1.189	Jan 29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	5.844	Jan 29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	1,160.64	Jan 29
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?	BUY	1.0¢	2,000	Jan 28
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?	BUY	1.0¢	100	Jan 28
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?	BUY	1.0¢	100	Jan 28
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?	BUY	1.0¢	2.51	Jan 28
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?	BUY	1.0¢	535.838	Jan 28
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?	BUY	1.0¢	101.01	Jan 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active70.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)64.3%

Win Consistency53.6%

Profit Factor1.84

Drawdown Resilience1.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.48

Weekly Sharpe est.1.13

Trading Activity556 trades · 66 active days

P&L Calendar

$154,18114d profit52d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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